Daily estimation game

Estimate the unimaginable

One real-world question a day. One number. Your score depends on how many powers of ten separate you from the truth.

0 daysDaily QuestionOne question. One guess.Next question in --:--:--PlaySize It UpVisual estimation0/3 categoriesPlaySurvival ModeEstimate fast. Stay alive.PlayHigher or LowerTwo quantities. Which is bigger?PlayMagnitude QuizFour options. One right order of magnitude.PlayPracticeUnlimited questions, by theme.Stats & historyYour scores, streaks and averages.

A daily game about orders of magnitude

How many trees are planted on Earth in a day? How heavy is the Great Pyramid? Magnitudle asks one question like this every day. You answer with a single number, and the game tells you how close you were on a logarithmic scale.

Being off by a factor of two barely costs you anything. Being off by a factor of a thousand does. That is the whole idea: you are not trying to know the answer, you are trying to land in the right order of magnitude.

Three ways to play

The Daily Question is the heart of the game: everyone gets the same question, you get one guess, and your streak grows each day you play.

Survival Mode is the fast version. You have 10 life and 15 seconds per question, and every answer costs you as much life as the orders of magnitude you missed by.

Size It Up is visual. You resize a silhouette until it matches its true size next to a reference you know, from a sheet of paper to a skyscraper, across three categories: everyday objects, pop culture and geography.

Why estimation is worth practicing

Physicist Enrico Fermi was famous for getting surprisingly good answers from almost no data, just by breaking a question into pieces he could reason about. The same skill helps you sanity check a headline, a budget or a business plan.

A few minutes a day is enough to feel the difference between a million and a billion, which is most of what numerical intuition is.

FAQ

Is Magnitudle free?

Yes. Every mode is free to play in your browser, with no account and no download.

When does the daily question change?

A new question appears at midnight in your local time zone. The countdown on the home page shows how long is left.

How is my score calculated?

Your score goes from 0 to 100 and depends on the distance between your guess and the real answer in powers of ten. Within about 12 percent of the answer you score 100. Five orders of magnitude away, you score 0.